If history is to repeat itself, then the voters that put President Barack Obama in the White House are likely to be the ones who will keep him there for another four years.
According to the latest Gallup poll, the "2012 electorate looks like 2008 ... the key elements of President Obama's electoral coalition, such as racial minorities, women, young adults, and postgraduates will likely turn out at rates similar to those in 2008."
The number of non-white voters has risen due to the growth of that segment of the population over the past decade. Gallup reports that "the percentage of non-white voters, now 20 percent, has risen significantly since 2004 (15 percent).
The report says the outcome of the election may "hinge more on how groups vote rather than to what extent they will vote." There has been a shift with most groups currently less likely to support Obama but the president's seven-point margin in the 2008 election gives him breathing room to still win the election.
The Gallup poll, dated Oct. 26, 2012, shows President Obama has lost more support with Gov. Mitt Romney leading 50 percent to Obama's 47 percent.
That statistic came after Gallup posed the question in a telephone survey of approximately 2,700 likely voters. Despite Romney's slight lead, Gallup maintains its data points to Obama.
Do you think it will come down to events outside of the campaigns that will determine the outcome? Share your thoughts in our comment box below.
- Gwinnett Voters Taking Advantage of Early Voting
- Romney or Obama? Find Out Which Candidate Your Neighbors Are Donating to
- Flash Poll: No Clear Winner in Monday Night's Debate